Predictions, politics, praise and even impersonation were all part of the 48th annual
ICI general membership meeting in Washington, D.C. last week, themed "Creating Shareholder Value."
The three-day event at the Hilton Washington featured several dozen presenters, and many of them decided to share their views on the future of mutual funds and more. Some of their forecasts:
"The tide of ever-increasing regulation and enforcement seems to have crested." --
NASD chairman and CEO
Robert R. Glauber
"The survival of the mutual fund industry depends on its ability to adapt." --
James Glassman, resident fellow at the
American Enterprise Institute
"We are projecting auto-enrollment as the standard plan design [for 401(k) plans]." --
James Cornell, senior vice president of FIRSCo Plan Sponsor Strategy at
Fidelity Investments
"I don’t think employee meetings [educating them on 401(k) plans] will happen anymore. We’re moving towards a more personalized experience." –Cornell
"People will be on a path to a more DB-like result." --
Barry Schub, executive vice president at
New York Life Investment Management Retirement Plan Services
"Age-based funds are going to grow and grow." --Schub
"The fund industry is going to flourish. Hedge funds will collapse under the weight of their ridiculous fee structure." --
Don Phillips, managing director at
Morningstar. Phillips also announced that Morningstar will begin publishing dollar-weighted returns in the fourth quarter of the year.
Besides looking forwards, many conference speakers praised the mutual fund industry, past and present. "Mutual funds are the most effective way for millions of Americans to achieve financial security," said
John Murphy, chairman of the conference and chairman, president and CEO of
Oppenheimer Funds. "The average American needs what we provide."
Presenters also had a few things to say about human nature. "I believe, at the end of the day, that investors are smart," Phillips said. "Eventually, fund companies get the shareholders they deserve."
Others were less positive, if hard to argue with. "We are of two minds," said
David Laibson, professor of economics at
Harvard University. "People know what they should do, by and large, and yet they don't get around to it."
Silvio Tarca, managing director of
Intrepid Funds at
JPMorgan Funds, pointed out that mistakes are hard to avoid. " The greater the education and the higher the level of expertise, the greater the risk of overconfidence."
In discussion of Single Premium Immediate Annuities (SPIAs),
Tom Johnson, senior vice president at
Mass Mutual Financial Group worried over the loss of flexibility from SPIAs. "Who wants an annuicide?" Johnson asked.
Extracurricular activities included speeches by historian
Doris Kearns Goodwin, former RNC chairman
Ed Gillespie, and former DNC chairman
Terry McAuliffe, as well as an appearance by famed Bush impersonator
Steve Bridges at the official ICI reception and dinner in the National Building Museum on Thursday night.
No idiom was safe from Bridges’ humor. "Give a man a fish, shame on you. Teach a man to fish, and he'll play knick-knack on your shoe." 
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